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Thanksgiving Betting Preview Odds trends picks for Texans-Li
seestyle: Thanksgiving Betting Preview Odds trends picks for Texans-Li
Thanksgiving Betting Preview Odds trends picks for Texans-Li
Jul 20, 22 om 12:11
Happy Thanksgiving, everyone! Theres nothing quite like this holiday, as it combines so many amazing parts of life: Family, friends, food, and of course, football! Yasmani Grandal Jersey This has been one of the most turbulent years in modern American history, so its wonderful to be able to get back to the familiar traditions of Turkey Day. Of course, COVID-19 had to rear its ugly head at least a little bit, pushing the Ravens-Steelers Thursday Night Football game back to Sunday afternoon. That leaves us with a Thanksgiving Day doubleheader, starting with the Texans-Lions at 12:30 p.m. ETand concluding with Washington-Dallas.As always, BetQL will have comprehensive analysis, up-to-the-minute line movement, and expert picks and predictions for these two games as well as the 14 other games this holiday weekend. The BetQL Best Bet Model has been hard at work, projecting halftime and full-game scores for this full Week 12 slate, listing each bet with confidence ratings indicating its favorites.As the Thursday Night Football game has been moved, we at BetQL have decided to provide our official previews and predictions for the two other Thanksgiving games instead. We hope you enjoy, and we wish you a happy, healthy, and safe holiday with your loved ones. May your bet slips bring you as much joy as the first bite of your Thanksgiving meal!Houston Texans (3-7) at Detroit Lions (4-6), Ford Field, 12:30 p.m. HOU -3 (-170 ML), O/U 51For better or for worse, Detroit has been a fixture of Thanksgiving football in just about every year since 1934. Consequently, there have been a lot of bad Lions teams displayed on television sets throughout the majority of the last 86 Turkey Days. This Matthew Stafford-led version is far from the worst, but its underperforming to say the least.Injuries have ravaged the Lions chances to contend for a playoff spot in the crowded NFC North. Now it hosts a Deshaun Watson-led Houston Texans squad that has been playing vastly better as of late than its record suggests. In fact, the Texans come into Detroit as - Zach Davies Jersey 3 road favorites (-170 ML), with the over/under currently at 51 total points.Texans OutlookWith former Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins now dazzling the world for the Cardinalsthanks to a puzzling move by then-GM and head coach Bill OBrien, who got fired in October after Houston started this season 0-4Watson is now the big star in Texas. The quarterback has played inspired football since OBriens departure, thanks in large part to the leadership of the longtime, well-respected Romeo Crennel as Houstons interim head coach.If the Texans had any semblance of consistency defensively, they would probably be competing for a Wild Card position right now. They have won three games since OBriens firing, thanks in large part to Watsons offensive brilliance, and at least two of their last three lo ses have been due to defensive breakdowns (their third was simply due to having an inferior running game than the Browns in heinous Cleveland weather).Take a look at Watsons stats before and after OBriens termination.Watson in Weeks 1-4 (four games), with OBrien:98.8 average QB rating, 1.5 pa sing TDs per game, zero games with over 300 pa sing yards, three total interceptions, 16 sacks, 14.5 rushing yards per gameWatson in Weeks 5-11 (six games), without OBrien:114.08 average QB rating, 2.3 pa sing TDs per game, four games with over 300 pa sing yards, two total interceptions, 10 sacks, 35.1 rushing yards per game.Needle s to say, things are getting better offensively. Watson has established a great connection with veteran wide receivers Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks, who each have 47 catches on the season. Fuller has 708 receiving yards (15.1 yards per catch) and a team-leading six TDs, and hes caught nearly 70 percent of his targets. Cooks has found his role in the slot, catching three TDs and racking up 634 yards of his own. Veteran receiver Randall Cobb, who just hit the IR with turf toe, was replaced capably last week by Keke Coutee, who caught his first score of the year in a big 27-20 win over New England. Trusty tight ends Darren Fells and Jordan Akins have been beyond serviceable, hauling in a combined 79 catches and four TDs. The tight end tandem has a combined catch rate of 81.9 percent, and a combined yards per reception average of 13.5.But that rushing gameand that defense woof. David Johnson, the big catch in OBriens insane Hopkins deal, averaged 51 yards per game on the ground before a bad concu sion landed him on the IR. His backup, Duke Johnson, has only a 2.8 yards per carry average.As for Houstons defensive struggles, let the numbers do the talking. The Texans have allowed the second-most total yards in the NFL this season. They rank dead-last in rushing yards allowed, takeaways, interceptions, opponent yards per drive, and defensive time of Cecil Cooper Jersey po se sion. They rank 21st or worse in every defensive counting category, and 28th inthird-down conversion percentage and opponent first downs. Take away the 10-7 lo s in the polar vortex in Cleveland, and Houston has given up an average of 33.8 points in defeat.Lions OutlookAs bad as things might seem for Houstons defense, the big picture might be even worse for Detroit. The Lions have lost Aaron Rodgers Jersey all three matchups with NFC North opponents. They just got destroyed by a former XFL QB (P.J. Walker) and a Christian McCaffrey-le s Panthers squad. They only have a three-point win over Washington to be happy about over the course of their past four games, and they have been outscored during that 1-3 stretch 122-71.Veteran QB Matthew Stafford, perhaps the unluckiest QB in pro football over the past decade, has been battling through a torn ligament in the thumb of his throwing hand. His best receiver, Kenny Golladaythe league-leader in TD catches last season with 11mi sed Detroits first two games with a hamstring injuryand today will mi s his fourth consecutive game due to a nagging hip injury. Breakout rookie back DAndre Swift, who has averaged 6.0 yards per touch and scored six times, mi sed the Lions last game with a concu sion. Veteran receiver Danny Amendola, banged up all season, will mi s his second straight contest with a hip injury.Got all that? Well, lets look at the bright side. Marvin Jones can make plays all over the field when his QB has the proper digits to get him the ball, and he has five TDs on the season. Second-year tight end T.J. Hockenson also has five TDs, and has caught 66.7 percent of his targets. Marvin Hall remains a big play-maker down the field, with a whopping 18.3 average yards per reception. And Adrian Peterson has been as solid as a 35-year-old NFL power back can be. But man, does this team need Swift active today to be able to compete.The Lions just have not found their identity defensively. Matt Patricias squad has given up the fifth-most points, the sixth-most total yards, and the eighth-most generous third-down conversion rate. Detroit ranks 30th in rushing yards allowed, 31st in first downs allowed, and dead-last in rushing TDs surrendered. So, if you want offense, youre probably Brandon Woodruff Jersey going to enjoy the early game this afternoon.Texans-Lions predictionThese defenses both stink, and these offenses seem to be going in two different directions. With Stafford still not able to give two thumbs up (so to speak), and Golladay still mi sing from the Lions lineup, its hard to shy away from the Texans on the moneyline with the way Watson has been playing. The BetQL Best Bet Model agrees with one-star confidence that Houston will take the game, but it lists a four-star rating on Detroit covering the +3. It also loves Detroit +2.5 at the half, projecting with a full five-star rating that the Lions will at least go into halftime down by one or fewer points. This seems like a game that will easily hit the 50s in total scoring, and the Model agrees with two-star confidence that the OVER is the play at both halftime (O/U 25) and on the final score (O/U 51). Well take the Texans 30-28 in a Turkey Day barnburner.Washington Football Team (3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (3-7), AT&T Stadium, 4:30 p.m. DAL -3 (-150), O/U 46This NFC East clash serves as the second-half of the double-header kickoff for Week 12, and the winner will ascend to the top of the division. And somehow, both teams enter the contest with just three wins on the entire season. Between the 20 games these two squads have combined to play, seven different quarterbacks have started. If that situation doesnt sum up the wacky year that is 2020, I dont know what will.But one things for sure, a Jerry Jones Cowboys squad will find a way to entertain the ma ses on Thanksgiving. Jones and head coach Mike McCarthy were probably thrilled to have backup Andy Dalton back to full health last week, just his second full game in the five games since stud QB Dak Prescott broke his ankle. Red Rifle and Dallas stars Ezekiel Elliott and Amari Cooper joined forces, helping break the Cowboys four-game losing streak with a huge 31-28 home win over Minnesota. Meanwhile, Comeback Player of Alex Claudio Jersey the Year candidate Alex Smith led Washington to a big win over the Bengals, after Cincy lost star rookie QB Joe Burrow to an ACL/MCL tear. The win was Washingtons first since beating Dallas in Week 7, and just its second victory since the opening week of 2020. The Cowboys are -3 favorites at home, and just -150 on the moneyline, while the over/under has settled at 46 total points.Washington OutlookWashington has been one of the more resilient teams in the NFL this season, and the franchise has new head coach Ron Rive
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